Inverting a primary/fallback order silently transfers the shared time budget

Context

Issue #5849 (PR #5855) inverted seed-conflict-intel's GDELT sourcing: the bulk export became primary and the DOC per-country sweep became the fallback. The sweep's launch cutoff (scripts/seed-conflict-intel.mjs:489-490) is derived from an absolute deadlineAt anchored at fetch-phase start — under the old order the sweep ran first and consumed that window directly, and the bulk attempt's worst case was budgeted ON TOP of it: the deadline invariant test computes max(HAPI, SWEEP_BUDGET + worstBatch) + GDELT_BULK_WORST_NETWORK_MS + slack (tests/seed-fetch-deadline-budget-invariants.test.mjs:105-107) — the two paths are modeled ADDITIVELY. A naive inversion (move the bulk block above the sweep, change nothing else) makes the bulk attempt eat the sweep's window: a slow-failing mirror (up to ~60s of GDELT_BULK_WORST_NETWORK_MS timeouts, scripts/_conflict-gdelt-bulk.mjs:22-23) hands the healthy fallback an already-expired budget, so the sweep's overBudget check trips on iteration zero and every 15-minute tick reports a combined "no usable source" failure without a single fallback request being made. The reliability reviewer caught this in review; it never reached production.

Guidance

When inverting which path is primary, transfer the budget explicitly:

Credit the new primary's elapsed time back to the demoted path's cutoff, clamped to the constant the invariant models:
js
```
const bulkStartedAt = now();            // before the primary attempt
// ... primary attempt fails ...
const launchCutoffAt = deadlineAt != null
  ? deadlineAt + Math.min(now() - bulkStartedAt, GDELT_BULK_WORST_NETWORK_MS)
  : now() + GDELT_SWEEP_BUDGET_MS;
```
(scripts/seed-conflict-intel.mjs:415 and scripts/seed-conflict-intel.mjs:489-490.) The credit restores exactly the window the demoted path had under the old order; the clamp keeps the code's worst case equal to the constant the invariant test asserts, so model and reality cannot drift apart silently.
Prove it with an injected-clock test where the primary consumes most of the window before failing, asserting the fallback still attempts its full sweep — and a companion test where the deadline expired before entry, asserting the credit cannot resurrect a dead window (algebraically the credited cutoff equals "budget remaining at function entry", so aux-stage overruns still cancel the sweep). Both are in tests/conflict-gdelt.test.mjs ("slow-failing bulk export does not starve" / "cannot resurrect a window").

Why This Matters

The failure mode is invisible in every ordinary test: synchronous mock failures consume zero clock, so the fallback always appears to get its full window. In production it means a slow (not down) primary permanently disables the emergency fallback — the exact insurance the fallback exists to provide — while each tick degrades to a preserved-last-good no-publish and freshness quietly ages toward the health threshold. The pre-inversion code never had this bug because the fallback ran first; the inversion created it without touching a line of the fallback.

When to Apply

Any reorder of attempt sequence inside a deadline- or lock-bounded phase: seeders with primary/fallback data sources, retry ladders with per-rung budgets, multi-provider fetch chains. Trigger question for review: "whose clock does the demoted path now run on, and does the total-envelope invariant model these paths additively or shared?"

Examples

The rest of the inversion checklist from the same review (two model families converged on these independently):

Cold-start thin-window floor — the promoted path's success predicate was weaker than the demoted path's (any non-empty window vs. a 16/20 coverage floor). With no retained rolling window, a partially-degraded source serving a single-country handful would overwrite last-good and suppress the fallback. Fix: scripts/seed-conflict-intel.mjs:439 gates cold-start publishes on ≥3 countries with events, falling through to the fallback instead.
Snapshot-shape consumers — the promoted path published different pagination telemetry; audit every reader of the snapshot before dropping the demoted path's fields (none read them here, verified by repo-wide grep).
Stateful-window coupling — the promoted path's rolling window is rebuilt from the previous snapshot, and a fallback tick publishing a different source tag erases it on recovery. Pre-existing mechanism, tracked as issue #5852 rather than fixed in the inversion PR (its acceptance criteria pinned merge semantics unchanged).

Fix state: opened in PR #5855 (CI green), unmerged as of this writing.