Back to Worldmonitor

China Logistics Corridors

docs/china-logistics-corridors.mdx

2.10.06.1 KB
Original Source

The China logistics control towers are transparent source compositions over reviewed geographic corridors. They report evidence availability and freshness by family. They do not generate an opaque logistics-risk score, forecast disruption, or infer activity from source presence alone.

Reviewed corridors

Corridor IDNameReviewed scope
china-yangtze-river-deltaYangtze River DeltaShanghai, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang ports, aviation, and advanced-manufacturing nodes
china-greater-bay-areaGreater Bay AreaGuangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao-facing ports, airports, hazards, and industrial gateways
china-bohai-rimBohai RimBeijing-Tianjin, Hebei, Shandong, and Liaoning maritime-industrial gateways
china-western-land-sea-corridorWestern Land-Sea CorridorInland manufacturing hubs, Xinjiang land crossings, and Guangxi maritime gateways

Each corridor has a reviewed polygon, node registry, node owner, and source selector. A source record contributes only when its selector or reviewed geography maps it to that corridor. National inputs are clearly marked as national and can apply to all four corridors.

Six signal families

Family IDSource contractScope and observation
portIMF PortWatchReviewed China/Hong Kong port IDs; calls, DWT measures, trend deltas, and anomaly flag when published
aviationAviationStackReviewed PEK, PVG, CAN, SZX, CTU, KMG, URC, and HKG provider coverage
hazardWestern Pacific cyclone sources and Hong Kong ObservatoryEvents inside a corridor boundary plus explicit HKO warning coverage for the Greater Bay Area
power_energyWorldMonitor energy spineNational China energy dependency coverage, latest source observation time, and the observed year-over-year oil-product demand change with its own period end when published
strategic_industryUN ComtradeAnnual strategic-product observations for reporter 156
tradeUN Comtrade and Shanghai Shipping Exchange CCFIAnnual reporter-156 trade observations, the current China Containerized Freight Index, and its period-over-period change — the exchange's own percentage, or the change between two period levels it published — with the prior period it was measured against

IMF PortWatch and AviationStack are node-scoped. Hazard observations are regional. WorldMonitor energy spine, UN Comtrade, and Shanghai Shipping Exchange inputs are national. The output keeps those scopes visible rather than presenting national evidence as a measured node value.

Availability composition

Every source signal carries:

  • publisher identity and class;
  • source URL when applicable;
  • node, regional, or national scope;
  • observation, release, and retrieval time with precision;
  • revision metadata when available;
  • transport and content freshness;
  • an inspectable summary and source metrics.

Each family condition is available, partial, stale, or unavailable. A corridor is:

  • available only when all six conditions are available;
  • stale when every condition is available or stale and at least one is stale;
  • unavailable when all six are unavailable; or
  • partial for every mixed or provenance-invalid state.

An absent configured port or airport becomes an explicit unavailable signal. A healthy feed with zero hazards can establish feed coverage, but it does not create a hazard event. Energy-spine coverage flags do not establish an activity direction; only an explicitly published demand change does, and it is dated by its own period end rather than by the family's latest source timestamp. A current CCFI level without a prior comparison does not become a freight change.

China energy-demand change contract

The published JODI demand change is a same-month year-over-year percentage. Its basket sums TOTDEMO for the available GASOLINE, GASDIES, JETKERO, RESFUEL, and LPG secondary products. At least three products must be available in both comparison months with the identical basket; a change beyond ±50% is refused as an implausible reporting or unit error. The source signal keeps the product list and current/prior kbd totals in provenance, while the directional value is labeled % change.

Freshness budgets

The composer evaluates source timestamps at request time:

InputTransport budgetContent handling
PortWatch36 hoursIndividual observations stale after 72 hours
AviationStack90 minutesIndividual observations stale after 180 minutes
Western Pacific hazards / HKO9 hoursObservations stale after 9 hours
Energy spine48 hoursYear/month/day precision gets a corresponding periodic budget
UN Comtrade48 hoursAnnual observations use a 550-day budget
CCFI7 hoursIndex content stale after 28 days

Transport freshness proves that collection ran. Content freshness proves that the observation itself is timely. Neither substitutes for the other.

API and caching

GET /api/supply-chain/v1/get-china-corridor-control-towers reads the canonical Redis source seeds in one batch and isolates missing dependencies. It validates every composed provenance envelope before returning the wire payload.

Healthy aggregates use a five-minute server cache. An all-unavailable result is not positively cached, so a recovery can appear immediately. The client circuit breaker deliberately retains no last-good aggregate that could hide a current fail-closed response. The panel refresh interval is 15 minutes.

The response exposes upstreamUnavailable: true only when every corridor is unavailable. Partial corridor evidence remains inspectable rather than being collapsed into total outage or false health.

This detailed control-tower response is a REST/UI surface. MCP has no dedicated corridor-control-tower tool; Pro MCP receives only its bounded contribution to get_china_decision_signals.

Relationship to the nowcast

The China Activity Nowcast can use a corridor-family breadth change only when a comparable prior corridor snapshot exists. The control-tower response itself remains a source composition and does not publish a directional economic conclusion.