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Generalized Linear Models

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.. currentmodule:: statsmodels.genmod.generalized_linear_model

.. _glm:

Generalized Linear Models

Generalized linear models currently supports estimation using the one-parameter exponential families.

See Module Reference_ for commands and arguments.

Examples

.. ipython:: python :okwarning:

Load modules and data

import statsmodels.api as sm data = sm.datasets.scotland.load() data.exog = sm.add_constant(data.exog)

Instantiate a gamma family model with the default link function.

gamma_model = sm.GLM(data.endog, data.exog, family=sm.families.Gamma()) gamma_results = gamma_model.fit() print(gamma_results.summary())

Detailed examples can be found here:

  • GLM <examples/notebooks/generated/glm.ipynb>_
  • Formula <examples/notebooks/generated/glm_formula.ipynb>_

Technical Documentation

.. ..glm_techn1 .. ..glm_techn2

The statistical model for each observation :math:i is assumed to be

:math:Y_i \sim F_{EDM}(\cdot|\theta,\phi,w_i) and :math:\mu_i = E[Y_i|x_i] = g^{-1}(x_i^\prime\beta).

where :math:g is the link function and :math:F_{EDM}(\cdot|\theta,\phi,w) is a distribution of the family of exponential dispersion models (EDM) with natural parameter :math:\theta, scale parameter :math:\phi and weight :math:w. Its density is given by

:math:f_{EDM}(y|\theta,\phi,w) = c(y,\phi,w) \exp\left(\frac{y\theta-b(\theta)}{\phi}w\right)\,.

It follows that :math:\mu = b'(\theta) and :math:Var[Y|x]=\frac{\phi}{w}b''(\theta). The inverse of the first equation gives the natural parameter as a function of the expected value :math:\theta(\mu) such that

:math:Var[Y_i|x_i] = \frac{\phi}{w_i} v(\mu_i)

with :math:v(\mu) = b''(\theta(\mu)). Therefore it is said that a GLM is determined by link function :math:g and variance function :math:v(\mu) alone (and :math:x of course).

Note that while :math:\phi is the same for every observation :math:y_i and therefore does not influence the estimation of :math:\beta, the weights :math:w_i might be different for every :math:y_i such that the estimation of :math:\beta depends on them.

================================================= ============================== ============================== ======================================== =========================================== ============================================================================ ===================== Distribution Domain :math:\mu=E[Y|x] :math:v(\mu) :math:\theta(\mu) :math:b(\theta) :math:\phi ================================================= ============================== ============================== ======================================== =========================================== ============================================================================ ===================== Binomial :math:B(n,p) :math:0,1,\ldots,n :math:np :math:\mu-\frac{\mu^2}{n} :math:\log\frac{p}{1-p} :math:n\log(1+e^\theta) 1 Poisson :math:P(\mu) :math:0,1,\ldots,\infty :math:\mu :math:\mu :math:\log(\mu) :math:e^\theta 1 Neg. Binom. :math:NB(\mu,\alpha) :math:0,1,\ldots,\infty :math:\mu :math:\mu+\alpha\mu^2 :math:\log(\frac{\alpha\mu}{1+\alpha\mu}) :math:-\frac{1}{\alpha}\log(1-\alpha e^\theta) 1 Gaussian/Normal :math:N(\mu,\sigma^2) :math:(-\infty,\infty) :math:\mu :math:1 :math:\mu :math:\frac{1}{2}\theta^2 :math:\sigma^2 Gamma :math:N(\mu,\nu) :math:(0,\infty) :math:\mu :math:\mu^2 :math:-\frac{1}{\mu} :math:-\log(-\theta) :math:\frac{1}{\nu} Inv. Gauss. :math:IG(\mu,\sigma^2) :math:(0,\infty) :math:\mu :math:\mu^3 :math:-\frac{1}{2\mu^2} :math:-\sqrt{-2\theta} :math:\sigma^2 Tweedie :math:p\geq 1 depends on :math:p :math:\mu :math:\mu^p :math:\frac{\mu^{1-p}}{1-p} :math:\frac{\alpha-1}{\alpha}\left(\frac{\theta}{\alpha-1}\right)^{\alpha} :math:\phi ================================================= ============================== ============================== ======================================== =========================================== ============================================================================ =====================

The Tweedie distribution has special cases for :math:p=0,1,2 not listed in the table and uses :math:\alpha=\frac{p-2}{p-1}.

Correspondence of mathematical variables to code:

  • :math:Y and :math:y are coded as endog, the variable one wants to model

  • :math:x is coded as exog, the covariates alias explanatory variables

  • :math:\beta is coded as params, the parameters one wants to estimate

  • :math:\mu is coded as mu, the expectation (conditional on :math:x) of :math:Y

  • :math:g is coded as link argument to the class Family

  • :math:\phi is coded as scale, the dispersion parameter of the EDM

  • :math:w is not yet supported (i.e. :math:w=1), in the future it might be var_weights

  • :math:p is coded as var_power for the power of the variance function :math:v(\mu) of the Tweedie distribution, see table

  • :math:\alpha is either

    • Negative Binomial: the ancillary parameter alpha, see table
    • Tweedie: an abbreviation for :math:\frac{p-2}{p-1} of the power :math:p of the variance function, see table

References ^^^^^^^^^^

  • Gill, Jeff. 2000. Generalized Linear Models: A Unified Approach. SAGE QASS Series.
  • Green, PJ. 1984. “Iteratively reweighted least squares for maximum likelihood estimation, and some robust and resistant alternatives.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 46, 149-192.
  • Hardin, J.W. and Hilbe, J.M. 2007. “Generalized Linear Models and Extensions.” 2nd ed. Stata Press, College Station, TX.
  • McCullagh, P. and Nelder, J.A. 1989. “Generalized Linear Models.” 2nd ed. Chapman & Hall, Boca Rotan.

Module Reference

.. module:: statsmodels.genmod.generalized_linear_model :synopsis: Generalized Linear Models (GLM)

Model Class ^^^^^^^^^^^

.. autosummary:: :toctree: generated/

GLM

Results Class ^^^^^^^^^^^^^

.. autosummary:: :toctree: generated/

GLMResults PredictionResultsMean

.. _families:

Families ^^^^^^^^

The distribution families currently implemented are

.. module:: statsmodels.genmod.families.family .. currentmodule:: statsmodels.genmod.families.family

.. autosummary:: :toctree: generated/

Family Binomial Gamma Gaussian InverseGaussian NegativeBinomial Poisson Tweedie

.. _links:

Link Functions ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Note: The lower case link classes have been deprecated and will be removed in future. Link classes now follow the Python class name convention.

The link functions currently implemented are the following. Not all link functions are available for each distribution family. The list of available link functions can be obtained by

::

>>> sm.families.family.<familyname>.links

.. module:: statsmodels.genmod.families.links .. currentmodule:: statsmodels.genmod.families.links

.. autosummary:: :toctree: generated/

Link CDFLink CLogLog LogLog LogC Log Logit NegativeBinomial Power Cauchy Identity InversePower InverseSquared Probit

.. _varfuncs:

Variance Functions ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Each of the families has an associated variance function. You can access the variance functions here:

::

>>> sm.families.<familyname>.variance

.. module:: statsmodels.genmod.families.varfuncs .. currentmodule:: statsmodels.genmod.families.varfuncs

.. autosummary:: :toctree: generated/

VarianceFunction constant Power mu mu_squared mu_cubed Binomial binary NegativeBinomial nbinom