skills/pkpd-modeling/references/special-populations.md
Body size alone explains paediatric clearance well from roughly 2 years upward. Below that, enzyme and renal maturation dominate, and size-only scaling overpredicts clearance — in a neonate by several fold.
CL_child = CL_adult * (WT/70)^0.75 * MF
MF = PMA^Hill / (TM50^Hill + PMA^Hill) Anderson & Holford
Generic clearance values: TM50 ≈ 54.2 weeks post-menstrual age, Hill ≈ 3.92. Drug-specific
ontogeny is much better where it exists, because individual enzymes mature on very different
schedules.
Use post-menstrual age (gestational + postnatal), not postnatal age. A 4-week-old born at 28 weeks and a 4-week-old born at term have very different eliminating capacity.
Enzyme ontogeny, in outline:
| Enzyme | Maturation |
|---|---|
| CYP3A7 | High at birth, declines over the first year |
| CYP3A4 | Low at birth, adult levels by ~1 year |
| CYP2D6 | Reaches adult activity within weeks; genotype dominates thereafter |
| CYP1A2 | Slow; adult levels around 4-5 months, and caffeine clearance in neonates is very low |
| UGT2B7, UGT1A1 | Slow; morphine and bilirubin conjugation are limited in neonates |
| Renal (GFR) | ~30% of adult (per surface area) at term birth; adult by 6-12 months |
Step 4 adopted 21 August 2024, effective 25 January 2025. It formalises a framework for using adult (or other-population) data to support paediatric conclusions:
The practical consequence: paediatric dose selection is expected to be model-informed, with a prospective plan, not a mg/kg extrapolation from the adult label.
Classified by eGFR (mL/min/1.73 m²): normal ≥ 90, mild 60-89, moderate 30-59, severe 15-29, kidney failure < 15.
fe does not guarantee no effect.Child-Pugh A/B/C is the conventional classification, though it is a crude proxy for drug-metabolic capacity and correlates poorly with any specific enzyme.
Which size descriptor to scale by depends on the parameter and the drug:
| Descriptor | Use |
|---|---|
| Total body weight | Volume of distribution for lipophilic drugs |
| Lean body weight | Clearance, most of the time; the best general-purpose descriptor |
| Fat-free mass + a fraction of fat mass ("normal fat mass") | Where lean weight under-predicts |
| Body surface area | Conventional in oncology; poorly justified for most agents |
| Ideal body weight | Older convention, largely superseded |
Fixed allometric exponents derived across species do not automatically apply within a species across the obesity range. Fitting the descriptor and letting the data choose is legitimate here.
Physiological changes across gestation are large and progressive: plasma volume up ~50%, GFR up ~50%, albumin down, CYP3A4 and CYP2D6 induced, CYP1A2 and CYP2C19 inhibited. A single "pregnancy" covariate is inadequate — the effect is gestational-age dependent. PBPK with a pregnancy population model is the usual approach, since dedicated PK studies in pregnancy are rare.
Age effects are mostly mediated: declining renal function, reduced hepatic blood flow and mass, changed body composition (less water, more fat), lower albumin. Include the mediators as covariates rather than age itself where possible — a model with age standing in for renal function will mispredict a fit 80-year-old and a frail 60-year-old in opposite directions.
Both regulators accept a reduced ("staged") design: study severe impairment first, and if exposure is unchanged, the intermediate categories can often be waived. A full design covers each category against matched controls. Match on age, weight and sex; unmatched controls are the usual reason an organ-impairment study is uninterpretable.